20-win Cougars flying under the radar

24 01 2010

Name one player who plays for the BYU Cougars men’s basketball team.  Do it.  Got nothing?  It’s okay, you’re just like everybody else.

You may not know anything about the underrated, overachieving, religious junkies from north central Utah.  Neither does anyone else.  But know this.  The Cougars are ranked #14 in the AP Poll and are creeping up on the nation.  ESPN ignores them.  You won’t find them on TV.  But while Tennessee was busy getting smoked at Georgia yesterday (Bulldogs ranked #73 in RPI), the Cougars were grinding out a tough win at San Diego State (Aztecs ranked #41 in RPI).  That win pushed BYU to 20-1 on the season.  They’re the first team in the country to achieve the 20-win milestone, and it’s still January.

The Cougars are outscoring opponents 83-62 on average and are shooting more than 50 percent for the season, including 42 percent from three-point range.

They have only three seniors on the team, none of whom are in the top three in scoring.  They are led by Jimmer Fredette, a junior averaging 20 points per game.  After that comes junior Jackson Emery and freshman Tyler Haws, each averaging 12.  In fact, 11 of the 13 players have played in at least 19 games.

Sure, the Cougars haven’t had much in terms of a schedule, but they did beat Arizona and Arizona State out of conference, both of whom are tied for second place in the Pac 10.  The one loss, at Utah State, is a loss to hide from, though the Aggies (15-6) do have a better RPI than Florida, Minnesota and Seton Hall.

The Mountain West has some tough teams (UNLV and New Mexico were ranked earlier this year, while Utah and San Diego State are also tournament bubble teams), but it’s not insane to think BYU could pull a Memphis and run the table.  If so, head coach Dave Rose may, dare I say it, have his team as high as a #1 seed come March.





Picking all 34 bowl games

19 12 2009

Bowl season gets underway Saturday with the first of 34 bowl games.  Damn, that’s 68 bowl bids.  I guess when a team loads up on FCS and Sun Belt teams in the nonconference, being bowl eligible doesn’t mean much.  But here we are anyway, and I’ll attempt to pick all 34, though I will likely only watch about half of them.

New Mexico Bowl – Fresno State vs Wyoming
Fresno finished strong with a dramatic overtime win over Illinois in Champaign.  A loaded schedule included losses to Wisconsin, Cincinnati and Boise State, but that should have them ready.  Props for Dave Christensen for getting Wyoming back to a bowl in his first season.
Pick:  Fresno State

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl – Central Florida vs Rutgers
When Rutgers lost by 32 at home to Cincinnati in week one, things weren’t looking good.  But the Scarlet Knights pulled it together and finished 8-4 in a surprisingly competitive Big East.  However, Central Florida basically has a home game here, and containing Tim Brown’s big play ability will be key.  Rutgers’ D ranks 99th.
Pick:  Central Florida

New Orleans Bowl – Southern Mississippi vs Middle Tennessee State
Sub Belt runner-up Middle Tennessee’s lone conference loss was to Troy, and 9-3 should be considered a success.  Al logic says pick the Blue Raiders, but I’m going against my logic on this.  Southern Mississippi had some heartbreaking losses against good teams, which will ultimately have them prepared for this game.
Pick:  Southern Mississippi

Las Vegas Bowl – Oregon State vs BYU
The Beavers were just a few plays away from playing Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.  Instead, they settle for Vegas and a great matchup with BYU.  The Beavers played five teams in the top 25, while the Cougars played just two.  Max Hall should have fun with the Beaver defense, but Oregon State will win a high-scoring game.
Pick:  Oregon State

Poinsettia Bowl – Utah vs California
Jahvid Best should be ready for this game, but how well he will do coming back from the concussion is unknown.  The Golden Bears, ranked as high as #6 earlier this year, fell after back to back blowout losses mid-season.  Utah’s defense is #20 in the country, while Cal ranks at #70.
Pick:  Utah

Sheraton Bowl – Nevada vs SMU
SMU will snap its 25 year bowl drought when it takes the field in Honolulu on Christmas Eve to play Nevada.  The Wolfpack got hot at the end of the season, winning eight of their final nine after an 0-3 start.  SMU will be happy to be here.  Nevada isn’t leaving without a win.
Pick:  Nevada

Little Caesars Bowl – Marshall vs Ohio
One of only two bowls north of the Mason Dixon line takes place in Detroit between two virtually equal teams.  Marshall is 6-6 but has played a tougher schedule.  Ohio is 9-4 after a MAC Championship loss to Central Michigan.  Ohio did play Tennessee and UConn tough.
Pick:  Ohio

Meineke Car Care Bowl – Pittsburgh vs North Carolina
Like Oregon State, Pittsburgh has to be crushed knowing that an Orange Bowl date with Georgia Tech was probably one or two plays away.  After a heartbreaking loss to Cincinnati, the Panthers settle for a “neutral” site game in Charlotte with the Heels.  Carolina’s defense will keep it close, but the ‘Heels just can’t score.
Pick:  Pittsburgh

Emerald Bowl – Boston College vs USC
I’m really entertained to see what the line on this game will turn out to be.  Right now it’s USC -9, and I’ll take the Trojans to cover.  Boston College has a terrible offense, and USC’s defense can be good despite some poor games.  This is a weird bowl to see USC playing in, and you know they are peeved about it.  Watch out BC.
Pick:  USC

Music City Bowl – Kentucky vs Clemson
Clemson, suffering from the Pitt/Oregon State virus, will have to watch their team take on a -not-as-good-as-their-record Kentucky team.  I’ve thought the ‘Cats were overrated all year, and Clemson has a chance to prove me right.  Kentucky’s rush D is ranked #100.  C.J. Spiller will have a field day.
Pick:  Clemson

Independence Bowl – Texas A&M vs Georgia
The interesting matchup here is Georgia’s fairly good defense against Texas A&M’s explosive offense.  The Aggies lit up Texas’ third ranked D and can do it again when they play the Bulldogs.  But the Aggie defense is awful, and Georgia should have its chances to score as well.
Pick:  Georgia

EagleBank Bowl – UCLA vs Temple
Games like this are the toughest to pick.  UCLA is 6-6, but with the #11 schedule in the nation.  Temple is 9-3, but had the sixth easiest schedule.  UCLA’s offense is ranked #88.  Temple’s is #89.  UCLA’s defense is #39, Temple’s is #37.  I’ll take the Bruins because of the schedule.
Pick:  UCLA

Champs Sports Bowl – Miami vs Wisconsin
Another game with no distinct advantage is a good one which features two 9-3 teams.  Wisconsin’s loss to Northwestern cost them their shot at a New Year’s Day bowl game despite a better overall record than the Wildcats.  Jacory Harris will make enough plays to push the ‘Canes to victory in their home state.
Pick:  Miami

Humanitarian Bowl – Bowling Green vs Idaho
Idaho fans were on a roller coaster early this season with the team’s 6-1 start.  But that vanished after the Vandals lost four of their final five, and they limp into Boise, where they lost on the same field by 38.  This time, Tyler Sheehan and Bowling Green are the opponents.  Limiting Sheehan’s big plays will be key for Idaho.
Pick:  Idaho

Holiday Bowl – Arizona vs Nebraska
Geographically, Arizona has the edge, but Husker fans will travel to watch their near Big 12 champions play.  Both defenses are really good, which is why I think 17 points may be enough.  The difference is that Arizona can score, and has, against good teams.  The Huskers haven’t shown consistent offense all season.
Pick:  Arizona

Armed Forces Bowl – Houston vs Air Force
The Armed Forces have their team, the Falcons, in this game.  Awaiting the Falcons is the #1 offense in the nation – the Houston Cougars.  Case Keenum and James Cleveland will be faced with its toughest task of the season with the Falcons’ #10 defense.  It’s Keenum’s chance to prove he deserved an invite to New York.
Pick:  Houston

Sun Bowl – Oklahoma vs Stanford
How about this high-profile matchup?  Last year, the final score of the Sun Bowl was 3-0.  This year Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart and the Cardinal will need more than that to beat the Sooners.  Gerhart will look to add to his nation-best 26 touchdowns against the seventh ranked Sooner rush defense.
Pick:  Stanford

Texas Bowl – Navy vs Missouri
Missouri became the first team in college football history to scout its bowl opponent in a live game, as the Army/Navy game took place after the bowl selection process.  It’s Navy’s fourth ranked rush attack vs Missouri’s #12 rush defense.  Navy’s only chance is if they can find a way to pass.
Pick:  Missouri

Insight Bowl – Minnesota vs Iowa State
The Insight Bowl took the Cyclones, who are bowling for the first time since 2001.  That decision makes for a good game.  Neither team’s offense or defense is any good, but the Gophers at least have a respectable defense.  Iowa State can’t stop anyone.
Pick:  Minnesota

Chick-fil-A Bowl – Virginia Tech vs Tennessee
Here’s a game that I don’t think will be close.  Virginia Tech has an outstanding defense, and Tennessee doesn’t do much to move the ball.  The Vols defense may keep it respectable for a while, but eventually Virginia Tech, who was ranked as high as number four even after the ‘Bama loss, will pull away.
Pick:  Virginia Tech

Outback Bowl – Northwestern vs Auburn
Would you believe me if I told you Auburn has played seven top 30 teams?  That’s right, seven.  The Tigers won three of those games, but it’s more about the fact that they played those games that has them prepared for this New Year’s Day dandy.  Northwestern played well at the end of the year and won’t go down without a fight.
Pick:  Auburn

Capital One Bowl – Penn State vs LSU
The best bowl game of the season is in Orlando.  LSU played Florida and Alabama tough, but Penn State will be a monstrous challenge as well.  The Lions’ D is eighth best in the country, and LSU has the twelfth worst offense in the nation.  It’s going to be tough for the Tigers to score.
Pick:  Penn State

Gator Bowl – West Virginia vs Florida State
How ironic is it that Bobby Bowden’s last game is against the team he used to coach?  As fun as the Bowden storyline should be, the Seminoles have no business being in this game.  Other ACC schools (Clemson, Miami) have to be peeved about the ‘Noles getting the Gator bid.
Pick:  West Virginia

International Bowl – South Florida vs Northern Illinois
Sophomore quarterback Chandler Harnish has been very efficient for Northern Illinois, but they haven’t played a team nearly as good as South Florida since a week one loss to Wisconsin.  The Bulls played tough in a good Big East conference.  The only bowl not played in the U.S. should be a fun one.
Pick:  South Florida

Papajohns.com Bowl – South Carolina vs Connecticut
Middle-of-the-pack teams clash in the only bowl named for a pizza.  UConn lost all five games by four points or fewer, which is quite unbelievable when you think about it.  A few bounces going the other way could make this team 12-0.  Four of South Carolina’s five losses came by double digits.
Pick:  Connecticut

Cotton Bowl – Oklahoma State vs Mississippi
Both of these teams started the season in the top 10 and had national championship aspirations.  Jevan Snead was supposed to win the Heisman and go #1.  Zac Robinson, Kendall Hunter and Dez Bryant were supposed to combine to form the best offense in the country.  This is a game of disappointment.
Pick:  Mississippi

Liberty Bowl – Arkansas vs East Carolina
The Pirates were awfully impressive in capturing their second straight Conference USA championship by knocking off Houston.  Their reward is a date with Arkansas.  Ryan Mallett had a heck of a year that went unnoticed because the Hogs lost five games.
Pick:  Arkansas

Alamo Bowl – Michigan State vs Texas Tech
Everyone knew this would be a down year for Texas Tech following the losses of Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree, but 8-4 is surprisingly respectable for the Red Raiders.  First year starter Taylor Potts threw for more than 3,000 yards, and he’ll have another big game against the Spartans.
Pick:  Texas Tech

GMAC Bowl – Central Michigan vs Troy
Central Michigan’s turnaround led to a MAC championship.  Now Butch Jones is bolting for Cincinnati to fill the void left by Brian Kelly.  Coach or no coach, the Chippewas should have no trouble moving the ball at will against Troy.  Troy has the offense to keep it close, so look for a high-scoring game.
Pick:  Central Michigan

Rose Bowl – Ohio State vs Oregon
Jeremiah Masoli and the Ducks could have folded after losing to Boise State to open the season.  Instead, the Ducks won 10 of 11, dethroned USC to win the Pac 10, and earned a Rose Bowl berth.  Ohio State is on the other end, making this the best BCS game on this year’s slate.
Pick:  Oregon

Sugar Bowl – Cincinnati vs Florida
Tim Tebow lost the game he wanted to win more than anything.  Now he plays his last college game against a team without a coach.  Cincinnati has scored a lot of points on a lot of people, but they haven’t faced a defense like Florida’s.  Tebow won’t let the Gators lose this one.
Pick:  Florida

Fiesta Bowl – Boise State vs TCU
We can talk all we want about the fact that these are two non-BCS teams playing each other, or about them both being undefeated, or about them playing in the national championship game.  But the matchup is what it is, and it should be entertaining.  TCU won last year, and they’ll repeat this year.
Pick:  TCU

Orange Bowl – Iowa vs Georgia Tech
The Hawkeyes were an overtime loss away from winning the Big Ten, but they’ll take their first BCS bowl game since the era began.  Awaiting Iowa and its #11 defense is Georgia Tech’s second ranked rush offense, led by Jonathan Dwyer and Josh Nesbitt.
Pick:  Georgia Tech

BCS National Championship – Alabama vs Texas
Which Texas team will show up?  The Horns that blew out Okie State in Stillwater?  It better be.  The team that “beat” Nebraska?  Stay home.  We know the Tide and Heisman winner Mark Ingram will be there.  Both teams have good enough defenses to keep from getting blown out.  Bottom line: roll Tide.
Pick:  Alabama





Forever young

10 12 2009

Guest columnist Brendan Wilson

Is there any question to who the best team in college basketball is right now? Following a 64-61 win over #12 Connecticut, Kentucky is now 9-0 and look better than they have in years. Did I mention this win came five days after they downed #11 North Carolina? Maybe we should rewind a few weeks. Kentucky beat Miami-Ohio by two, Sam Houston State by 10, and Stanford by eight in overtime. Having second thoughts? Don’t. This team is for real. Freshman John Wall dropped 25 on UConn last night, and seems to be getting better by the game. Freshman DeMarcus Cousins is a phenom as well averaging almost 15 per game. What about freshman Patrick Patterson, who is averaging over 16 per game. Yes, their three best players are three freshmen who do not shadow away in the spotlight.

John Calipari has this team running on all cylinders. No, they have not faced big size down low like Kansas or as an athletic of a team as Texas, but these past two wins have shown a lot in the character of this team. This is a team who is going to win the SEC easily. Florida and Mississippi are off to good starts but one can only ask how long it will last. Tennessee seems to figure as the Wildcats biggest task within conference play. Next up is a young Indiana team who is playing with a lot of heart, but simply will not contend with this team. After that, Kentucky does not leave their home floor for 30 days. Jan. 2 figures as their next challenge against Louisville. Inexperience seems to be the one question about this team, and I don’t see it being an issue. Kentucky may have finally found its way with one of the best recruiting classes of all time, and in sequence, could be heading to their first final four since 1998. Until then, there is a lot of basketball to be played!





Five must-see bowls, five snoozers

8 12 2009

The 2009-2010 bowl season is sure to produce some interesting storylines, even if the games may not be great.  In the Sugar Bowl, a top five offense will clash with a top five defense.  In Dallas, a Cotton Bowl matchup features two teams with explosive offenses who both have to feel disappointed to be in that game.  The day after Christmas, USC will play a bowl game.  Six days later, Bobby Bowden will coach his final game, against his former team.  Three days after that, two non-BCS schools will meet in a BCS bowl.

Here, I give you five bowls to watch even if it means skipping work or family reunions, and five bowls with which you can hit the snooze button.

Sleep through…

5)  Chick-fil-A Bowl:  When Virginia Tech meets Tennessee on New Year’s Eve, things will get ugly.  The Hokies have to consider this season a disappointment, yet they have a chance for another 10-win season under Frank Beamer.  The Hokie defense will make life miserable for a vanilla Tennessee offense and should win comfortably.  Alternative suggestion: start your New Year’s Eve plans early.

4)  Fiesta Bowl: Is the BCS really this scared?  Two of the past three years, a BCS buster has knocked off a powerhouse.  So logically, the BCS puts its two undefeated busters up against each other as to not ruin this system by having another Oklahoma or Alabama fall in the spotlight.  I thought the point of these teams making it to a BCS game was to see how they matched up with BCS schools.  Now we’ll never know.  Alternative suggestion: rewind time and put TCU up against Georgia Tech and Iowa against Boise State.

3)  Texas Bowl: Navy still has one more game to play, meaning they lose two weeks of preparation on Missouri, whom they will play on New Year’s Eve in Houston.  Not only that, but Navy can’t throw the ball.  In fact, they won a game this year in which they didn’t even attempt a pass.  If they try to run, Missouri will stuff it (12th in the nation against the run).  If they try to throw, they will be out of their element.  On the other side, the Tigers have scored at least 32 points in five straight games.  It won’t be close.  Alternative suggestion: see Chick-fil-A Bowl suggestion.

2)  Gator Bowl: That’s really nice of the Gator Bowl to invite Bobby Bowden to play his last game there.  So cute.  Too bad the whole nation will be watching a different 1 p.m. New Year’s Day bowl instead.  Bowden and Florida State do not belong in this game after a .500 finish.  Not only that, but they are going up against a talented West Virginia team which ended the season with wins over Pitt and Rutgers, and a near shocker in Cincinnati.  The ‘Noles don’t have a defense, and West Virginia will exploit that early and often.  Alternative suggestion: watch ABC (see below for why).

1)  Emerald Bowl: Yes, the most boring yet comedic thing to watch will be Boston College trying to move the ball on USC’s defense.  Despite the Trojans’ struggles this season, the defense has been relatively stable against bad offenses, and Boston College’s is ranked 97th in the country.  Give Pete Carroll a month to prepare for anyone, and they’re in trouble.  The Eagles don’t have a chance, especially in San Francisco.  Alternative suggestion: leave one Christmas present unopened so you have something to look forward to the next day.

Must-see games

5)  Holiday Bowl: What a dandy this will be.  Heisman candidate Ndamukong Suh and the ninth ranked Nebraska defense faces a top 20 defense in Arizona.  Normally I like Nebraska in this game, but the game being in San Diego neutralizes things.  Arizona is riding high after winning at USC, and Nebraska is feeling good about their “win” against Texas.  Double digits may be enough to win this game.

4)  Rose Bowl: The best BCS matchup features the perennial Big Ten champion Ohio State Buckeyes and…someone other than USC.  This alone makes it a must watch, but considering it’s the Ducks, a team that got white-hot after an opening night loss to Boise State, it should be a classic.  Terrelle Pryor and Jeremiah Masoli should set off plenty of fireworks.

3)  Las Vegas Bowl: It’s amazing that a team can go from playing on New Year’s Day in the Rose Bowl to playing in a bowl on Dec. 22.  But that’s exactly what happened to the Oregon State Beavers after a heartbreaking loss in Eugene Thursday night.  In comes BYU, a team with lofty expectations before being trampled at home by Florida State, then TCU.  And if there’s anyone who can take apart the Beavers, it’s underrated senior quarterback Max Hall, who is ahead of Colt McCoy, Tim Tebow and Kellen Moore in passing yards per game despite fewer passing attempts.  Buckle up for an offensive explosion.

2)  Poinsettia Bowl: Ironically, last year’s Poinsettia Bowl featured Boise State and TCU, with a final scored of 17-16.  This year the San Diego bowl game should be equally entertaining.  Two teams ranked in the preseason top 25 meet, and this will be about Utah’s defense trying to stop California’s Jahvid Best, who will be returning from a concussion suffered last month.  Both teams are out to prove that early season losses were a fluke.

1)  Capital One Bowl: The best bowl game of the season takes place in Orlando on New Year’s Day.  LSU will face Penn State, and if you recall, things were looking up for these teams in November.  Penn State had Ohio State coming to Happy Valley for the conference championship, while LSU actually held a lead on Alabama.  Neither team came through though, and wind up here instead.  The key to this game is LSU’s defense.  They must hold Penn State down, because the Tiger offense, ranked #108 in the country, won’t have a lot of opportunities against Penn State’s eighth ranked defense.





UConn, Duke set for showdown

22 11 2009

Want some excitement in college basketball this week?

Too bad.

Only one non-tournament game features ranked teams, and it’s Minnesota  Butler.  Yuck.

Duke is on a path to play UConn for the NIT Tip Off title in the Garden Friday night.  Two days before that, Arizona State and LSU will put up respective tests before falling in the semis.

None of e games were on the staff’s schedule, because we didn’t know what the results would be.





Football rankings and bowl projections

10 11 2009

There goes Iowa.  One week after I touted the Big Ten cinderella story, they lose their trap game to Northwestern.  The Hawkeyes can’t play for a national championship now, and will likely lose out on a BCS game after Ohio State punishes them this week.  Hawkeye fans can say it was because Ricky Stanzi got hurt.  I can fire back by saying he’s played mediocre at best this year.  Northwestern was able to stop an offense not known for its quarterback play, so how big a loss was Stanzi?  The point is, Iowa is now in a must-win situation against Ohio State in Columbus if they want a BCS game.  Otherwise it’s likely back to the Outback Bowl for the Hawkeyes.

Speaking of bowls, it’s time for me to make my first BCS bowl projections, so that will follow my rankings.

1)  Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) – Every week they seem like they play a big game, and every week they win.  The schedule has been brutal, yet they are unbeaten.  They outgained LSU by 199 yards and had 11 more first downs.

2)  Florida Gators (9-0) – It’s official.  With their wins this weekend, the Gators and Tide have secured trips to the SEC championship game.  Florida did it with their usual defense, holding Vanderbilt to under 200 yards of total offense.

3)  Texas Longhorns (9-0) – The past few weeks, the Longhorns have looked more like themselves, holding their past three opponents to a combined 17 points.  The offense is revamped, and Jordan Shipley was simply amazing against UCF.

4)  Cincinnati Bearcats (9-0) – Is there a quarterback controversy in Cincinnati?  Because there should be.  Since Tony Pike’s injury, backup Zach Corallos is 79-89 with 1,100 and eight touchdown passes.  West Virginia is next.

5)  Boise State Broncos (9-0) - The Broncos aren’t impressing the BCS with their margins of victory, and it happened to them again Tuesday.  With the rise of TCU, Ohio State, Georgia Tech and USC, Boise may not see a BCS game without help.

6)  TCU Horned Frogs (9-0) – Here’s another team with a lot to prove over the past few weeks, and boy have they stepped up.  They’ve won their past four games by scores of 38, 31, 41 and 43 points.  They are getting closer to Boise every week.

7)  Iowa Hawkeyes (9-1) – The Northwestern loss was bad, but this team still has nine wins with two games to go and can earn a Rose Bowl date against Oregon with a win over the Buckeyes in Columbus.  But the last time that happened?  1959.

8)  Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (9-1) – Surprisingly, it’s Georgia Tech, not Miami or Virginia Tech, that has taken control of a competitive Coastal division.  The Jackets needed overtime to knock off Wake Forest despite 412 rushing yards.

9)  Pittsburgh Panthers (8-1) – This may be the quietest team in the nation.  But Pitt is 8-1, 5-0 in the Big East and have their eyes on an Orange Bowl berth.  Two tough games stand between them and the showdown with Cincinnati on Dec. 5.

10)  Houston Cougars (8-1) – It’s hard to talk about the Cougars without bringing up Case Keenum.  He already has more than 3,800 yards to go with his 28 touchdown passes.  And his team is 8-1.  He’s got my vote for Heisman.

11)  LSU Tigers (7-2) – LSU’s two losses are to Florida and Alabama, so how far can they really drop?  They put up a good fight against both teams, but didn’t have the offense to make the plays at the end to win either game.

12)  Oregon Ducks (7-2) – Well on their way to the Rose Bowl, Oregon stumbled back into the Pac 10.  We’ve seen this before.  A team beats USC, then stumbles, allowing the Trojans to win the conference.  See 2008.  Or 2007.

13)  Miami Hurricanes (7-2) – The ‘Canes are this high because of the wins against Oklahoma and Georgia Tech, even if the Virginia Tech loss looks worse now.  A contending Virginia team came into Coral Gables and got embarrassed by 35.

14)  USC Trojans (7-2) – Pete Carroll’s defense gave up 27 against Notre Dame, 36 against Oregon State and 47 against Oregon.  When the defense does play well, as it did against Arizona State the offense doesn’t show up.  They’re inconsistent.

15)  Ohio State Buckeyes (7-2) – Amazingly, this team is once again in the driver’s seat for a conference title.  The Iowa loss didn’t matter, but a huge win in Happy Valley sure did.  The Buckeyes racked up 228 rushing yards in the win.

16)  Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2) – Penn State’s two losses have come to Ohio State and Iowa, and they didn’t play Wisconsin this year.  That means their best win is at Northwestern.  Their offense looks lost when they play good defenses.

17)  Utah Utes (8-1) – After an early season loss to Oregon, Utah has battled their way back by beating up on the bottom of the Mountain West.  Now they take their 5-0 conference record to Fort Worth, where an upset gives them the conference.

18)  Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2) - I can’t get behind a team that gave up 45 and 41 points to the only two ranked teams they’ve played all season.  It’s pretty sad that Dez Bryant is still the second leading receiver on this team.

19)  Arizona Wildcats (6-2) – Guess who can go to the Rose Bowl by winning its next four games? Yep. Arizona is a half game back in the Pac 10. To win four straight though, the ‘Cats need wins at Cal, against Oregon, at Arizona State and at USC.

20)  Wisconsin Badgers (7-2) – Living on the edge is working this year for Wisconsin.  Five of their seven wins have come by one possession, and their two losses came to the teams playing for the conference championship Saturday.

21)  South Florida Bulls (6-2) - The Bulls have two losses – to Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.  Other than that they are 6-0.  B.J. Daniels and Moise Plancher are combining to average more than five yards per carry.  They go to Rutgers Thursday.

22)  West Virginia Mountaineers (7-2) - West Virginia has shown signs that they are a good team, but haven’t played consistent enough.  To win the Big East they’ll need November wins over Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, starting Friday in Ohio.

23)  BYU Cougars (7-2) – BYU bounced back from a tough loss to TCU with a 52-0 smacking of Wyoming.  Max Hall threw four touchdown passes for the Cougars, who now need a win over Utah and some help to claim the Mountain West.

24)  Auburn Tigers (7-3) – Give credit to Gene Chizik for coming in and turning this program around.  In his first year, he has knocked off West Virginia, Mississippi and Tennessee.  Two tough games remain with Georgia and Alabama left.

25)  Stanford Cardinal (6-3) – Stanford had a great win over a red-hot Oregon team Saturday.  They racked up more than 500 yards of offense and put up 51 on the Ducks.  They go to USC Saturday, and we all remember how the last trip there went.

BCS Bowl Projections

Rose Bowl – Oregon vs Ohio State
Fiesta Bowl – Boise State vs TCU
Orange Bowl – Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh
Sugar Bowl – Alabama vs USC
National Championship – Florida vs Texas





NCAA hoops picks from the staff – 11/7

8 11 2009

College basketball season tips off Monday, and I’ve brought along a few staffers to help me make picks this season.  On Monday, North Carolina opens its title defense against Florida International.  On Friday, most teams tip off, including #1 Kansas against Hofstra.  We will be making picks every week, and the weekly winner (if it’s not me), will be able to write a guest blog post of his or her choice.

Basketball picks





College football picks – TCU falls

22 10 2009

TCU has made its way through a cupcake schedule without a blemish so far, but they haven’t played a team like BYU yet.  The Cougars made a splash with a 14-13 win over OU in Dallas on kickoff weekend, then have quietly flown under the radar after a blowout loss to Florida State.  Max Hall has already thrown for over 2,000 yards, good for third in the nation.  Harvey Unga is averaging 5.6 yards per carry and has nine rushing touchdowns.  The offense is averaging 35 points per game.  All in all, this team is clicking.  Meanwhile, TCU has struggled, especially on the road.  They’ve won their three road games by a combined 23 points against teams that are a combined 10-9.  The offense finally woke up last week in the drubbing of Colorado State, but what they will be able to do against a good team remains to be seen.  Last year TCU knocked BYU out of the BCS picture with a 32-7 win in Fort Worth.  BYU will return the favor this year.

(9) LSU 32, Auburn 25

(22) West Virginia 38, Connecticut 21

(20) Pittsburgh 40, South Florida 20

(13) Penn State 24, Michigan 23

(16) BYU 28, (10) TCU 21

UPSET SPECIAL:  Tennessee 27, (1) Alabama 24

Last week:  3-3
Overall:  26-16
Upsets:  5-2





College football rankings – Oct. 12

12 10 2009

By this point in the season, every team except two have played a bad game.  I’ve had those two teams ranked 1-2 all season.  The AP finally woke up from a five week coma and put Alabama at #2.  It’s a shame that the Tide and Gators can’t play for the national championship because after those two, there is a distinct dropoff in college football.  Penn State, USC, Texas, Cincinnati and Virginia Tech are the top teams in the other five big conferences, but none of them can touch the top two.  Not right now anyway.  So if you want your true national championship game, tune in Dec. 5 when the Gators and Crimson Tide meet at the Georgia Dome.  But just for giggles, and because I do it every week, I’ll rank 23 other teams too.

1)  Florida Gators (5-0) – The predictable Gators didn’t have Tim Tebow at his best Saturday, but that’s why you have a #1 ranked defense, right?  Florida’s “D” gets an “A” in Baton Rouge.  The game in Columbia Nov. 14 could mean a lot.

2)  Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) – I read an article on CBS Sports saying ‘Bama should be #1.  I wouldn’t be able to argue that after the ‘Tide truck Ole Miss in Oxford.  They forced four Jevan Snead picks and rushed for 200+ yards.

3)  Texas Longhorns (5-0) – The defense and special teams outscored the offense in a lackluster home win over a terrible Colorado team.  The ‘Horns had just 46 rushing yards on 25 carries.  Play like that again and OU will win Saturday.

4)  Boise State Broncos (5-0) – They are getting no love from the voters, but they are one of the most talented teams in America.  Kellen Moore is second in the nation in pass efficiency and has 13 TDs.  They travel to Tulsa on Wednesday.

5)  Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0) – Tony Pike has completed 66 percent of his passes and is throwing for nearly 300 yards per game.  Their top two rushers are both averaging better than five yards per carry.  My point?  This offense is good.

6)  Virginia Tech Hokies (5-1) – If Alabama ends up being this team’s only loss, then they have a national championship claim.  Since then, they are 5-0 and rolling.  Boston College had no chance as Virginia Tech rolled to a 34-0 halftime lead.

7)  Miami Hurricanes (4-1) – The ‘Canes get the edge over LSU because of wins over Oklahoma and Georgia Tech although the FSU win doesn’t look impressive anymore.  This week was their first breather as they bounced Florida A&M.

8)  LSU Tigers (5-1) – The Tigers couldn’t get anything going against that stout Florida defense, but took advantage of Tebow playing too soon to keep themselves in it.  They can earn a rematch by winning out, including a win in Tuscaloosa.

9)  USC Trojans (4-1) – USC is one of six Pac 10 teams with one loss, and Oregon is undefeated.  Pete Carroll isn’t used to seeing it this bunched up, which should make for an interesting finish.  First up though is a tough trip to South Bend.

10)  Ohio State Buckeyes (5-1) – The Bucks jump KU after an impressive victory over an improved Wisconsin team.  The defense and special teams combined for 21 of the 31 points, but Terrelle Pryor went just 5-13 with 87 yards, a TD and a pick.

11)  Kansas Jayhawks (5-0) – It certainly wasn’t pretty against lowly Iowa State.  Kerry Meier caught 16 passes for 142 yards and two touchdowns to help bail out the Jayhawk D, which allowed 512 yards to the Cyclones.  Colorado is next.

12)  Iowa Hawkeyes (6-0) – Give the Hawkeyes credit.  After all, they spoiled my perfect upset prediction streak.  They also beat a very good Michigan team.  Their three remaining away games are Wisconsin, Michigan State and Ohio State.

13)  Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1) – The Georgia win doesn’t look impressive anymore, the Rice game was closer than expected, and now OSU nearly loses at Texas A&M.  The banged up Cowboys still have Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma.

14)  Oregon Ducks (5-1) – Oregon got it done against UCLA Saturday thanks to a kickoff return and an interception return.  It seems the theme of the week was offenses getting outscored by their defenses and special teams.

15)  Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-1) – After a stagnant first three quarters, the ‘Husker offense exploded for 27 points in the fourth.  The defense is #13 in the country and has allowed just four touchdowns.  A 4-0 Big 12 start looks likely.

16)  Penn State Nittany Lions (5-1) – The Lions finished their joke of a nonconference schedule by beating FCS team Eastern Illinois by 49.  Next week they play their sixth home game of the season already, against Minnesota.

17)  TCU Horned Frogs (5-0) – I grow less impressed with this team every week.  Last week it was a four point win at Clemson.  This week it’s a three point win at Air Force.  I will give them credit for three road wins though.

18)  BYU Cougars (5-1) – Harvey Unga was at it again Saturday, scoring three more touchdowns and rushing for 149 yards.  Unga has rushed for 494 yards and eight touchdowns on the year, averaging 6.8 yards per carry.  Heisman?

19)  Oklahoma Sooners (3-2) – Sam Bradford returned Saturday against Baylor, and Bob Stoops didn’t hesitate to unleash the Heisman winner.  He threw 49 passes, completing 27, for 389 yards and a touchdown in the victory.

20)  Houston Cougars (4-1) – After the Cougars lost to UTEP, the AP and coaches took them out of the rankings.  I left them in, and now they are back in both major polls after beating their third BCS conference team of the year.

21)  South Florida Bulls (5-0) - Both the Bulls and Bearcats have had 12 days to prepare for the Thursday showdown in Tampa.  After Cincinnati, South Florida’s schedule stays tough, as they get Pittsburgh and West Virginia.

22)  Auburn Tigers (5-1) – Despite getting crushed by Arkansas, the Tigers have wins over Mississippi State, West Virginia and Tennessee.  Ben Tate and Onterio McCalebb both average more than six yards per carry and have combined for 1000.

23)  Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) – They may not be great teams, but the Irish have played four BCS conference teams already this year, and have won three.  They got a bye at a good time – they’re about to play a great BCS team.

24)  South Carolina Gamecocks (5-1) – Georgia game aside, South Carolina is finally winning all the close ones.  They’re the only other team with a prayer to win the SEC East, but first they’ll have to go to Alabama and win on Saturday.

25)  Pittsburgh Panthers (5-1) – The Pitt team today is not the same Pitt team we saw in the first three games.  Dion Lewis has slowed down, and the defense is giving up too many points.  The Big East is wide open, and Rutgers is next.





College football rankings – Oct. 5

5 10 2009

Although I got my upset correct for the fifth straight week, I dropped the ball on LSU/Georgia.  Is it time I give the Tigers some credit?  They are 5-0 with four BCS wins, including an impressive victory over Georgia in which they allowed just 13 points to a team that had put up 93 in two games against the SEC before Saturday.  They move up on my list, but will likely drop back next week because…

1)  Florida Gators (4-0) – …the Gators are coming to town.  Tim Tebow still hasn’t been cleared to practice or play, but I think the Gators can still win the game on defense alone.  Win this and it should be a red carpet to the SEC title game.

2)  Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0) – The AP writers and coaches still have Texas at #2, and I don’t know why.  Alabama was impressive yet again in a 38-20 drubbing of Kentucky.  Ole Miss will be a stiff test Saturday in Oxford.

3)  Texas Longhorns (4-0) – A tuneup game against woeful Colorado is a great way for Texas to open the Big 12 season before the Red River Shootout.  With other teams in the conference falling like dominos, the strength of schedule looks weak.

4)  Boise State Broncos (5-0) – It wasn’t the Broncos we had been used to seeing, but rain will slow down any offense.  Still, an 18 point home win over an FCS team is not what this program needs if it wants to get its title shot.

5)  LSU Tigers (5-0) – The Tigers faced their first true test of the season and passed with flying colors, holding Georgia to just 45 rushing yards and controlling the clock.  Maybe I was wrong about them.  Or maybe Florida will prove me right.

6)  Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0) - Moving the Bearcats down is not a penalty; they are just the victim of a weak schedule.  Jacob Ramsey rushed for 103 yards and three touchdowns against Miami-Ohio.  Undefeated South Florida is next.

7)  Virginia Tech Hokies (4-1) – The Hokies survived a major scare in Durham Saturday, escaping with a 34-26 win over Duke.  The ‘Devils found a way to score more points against Tech (26) than Nebraska and Miami combined (22).

8)  Miami Hurricanes (3-1) – Be honest and tell me if you really thought Miami would get through the opening month gauntlet 3-1.  Wins over Florida State, Georgia Tech and Oklahoma make a pretty impressive resume.

9)  USC Trojans (4-1) – They may be the best one loss team in the nation.  Or maybe California is just bad.  Either way, the Trojans looked good in a 30-3 route of the Bears in Berkeley.  Next is a bye week before going to Notre Dame.

10)  Kansas Jayhawks (4-0) – The offense is firing on all cylinders, but Mark Mangino probably wants to improve the D.  They have two gimme games to do so with Iowa State and Colorado as the first two conference opponents.

11)  Ohio State Buckeyes (4-1) – They put the brakes on in Bloomington and still came away with a 33-14 win.  Terrelle Pryor threw three TDs and ran for one.  If they get by Wisconsin Saturday, they should be 8-1 going to Happy Valley.

12)  Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) – Oklahoma State has time to make up some ground in the rankings with the Longhorns and Sooners still on the schedule.  But first it’s a trip to College Station to face always pesky Texas A&M.

13)  TCU Horned Frogs (4-0) – TCU rocked SMU 39-14 Saturday.  The defense is in the top 10 in the nation again.  Eight different TCU players ran the ball in the game, making quarterback Andy Dalton’s life very easy.

14)  Iowa Hawkeyes (5-0) – Iowa’s huge win over Penn State was nearly followed by a catastrophic loss to Arkansas State.  Nevertheless, they’re 5-0 headed into a tough stretch against Michigan, Wisconsin and Michigan State.

15)  Oregon Ducks (4-1) – The Ducks are trying to make the disaster in Boise seem like a distant memory.  Oregon ran for 318 yards and six touchdowns in a 52-6 route over Wazzu.  LeGarrette Blount may be reinstated in time for USC.

16)  Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1) – The Lions rebounded from the Iowa loss by spanking Illinois in Champaign.  Unlike previous games, the offense showed up in the fourth quarter, scoring 21 points to put the game away.

17)  BYU Cougars (4-1) – For the second straight week, Harvey Unga had a monster game.  This week he ran for 118 yards and a touchdown as BYU put the clamps down on Utah State.  Next up is a trip to Vegas to face UNLV.

18)  Oklahoma Sooners (2-2) – What a disappointment this season has been for OU and its fans.  Starting #3 in the country, the Sooners are already out of national championship contention, although a third straight Big 12 title is still possible.

19)  Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) – Nebraska leads the nation in scoring defense, allowing just seven points per game.  They are also averaging 40.  Combine the two and it’s a dangerous combination.  Big 12 play kicks off Thursday.

20)  Auburn Tigers (5-0) – It’s always tough to win at Tennessee, but Auburn did just that to improve to 5-0 on the year.  The next four games will challenge the Tigers, starting with Saturday’s road test at Arkansas.

21)  Mississippi Rebels (3-1) – Ole Miss rebounded from a tough loss in Columbia with a solid defensive performance in a 23-7 win at Vanderbilt, but Jevan Snead threw three more picks.  He’ll have to step up Saturday when “Bama rolls in.

22)  Houston Cougars (3-1) – Houston gave up 58 points against UTEP.  That won’t win any games.  To make matters worse people probably looked at Case Keenum’s numbers (51-76, 535 yards, 5 TDs) and thought Houston won the game.

23)  Wisconsin Badgers (5-0) – Wisconsin is winning ugly.  What’s new?  The fact is, they are 5-0 and seem to have found offense.  John Clay is averaging 5.2 yards per carry and has rushed for seven touchdowns already.  Ohio State is next.

24)  South Florida Bulls (5-0) – South Florida hasn’t played anybody yet, but they have five wins and look confident.  The one-two punch of B.J. Daniels and Moise Plancher are tearing up the ground game.  They host Cincinnati Oct. 15

25)  Missouri Tigers (4-0) – Like South Florida, the Tigers haven’t had a schedule yet.  But like South Florida, they’re undefeated and gaining confidence.  Blaine Gabbert is fourth in the nation in pass efficiency at 168.67.